{"id":22400,"date":"2025-12-07T06:25:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T10:25:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/market-rallied-4-straight-days-after-inflation-shocked-lower-but-feds-final-2025-meeting-decision-coming-wednesday-could-change-everything\/"},"modified":"2025-12-07T06:25:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-07T10:25:40","slug":"29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/","title":{"rendered":"Market rallied 4 straight days after inflation shocked lower, but Fed&#8217;s final 2025 meeting decision coming Wednesday could change everything"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style='font-size:1.1em;font-weight:500;line-height:1.6;margin-bottom:20px'>The stock market surged after softer-than-expected inflation data highlighted progress in the Fed&#8217;s price battle. Investors now zero in on next week&#8217;s final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This crucial decision could reshape the investment landscape heading into 2026.<\/p>\n<div style='background:#f9f9f9;padding:20px;border-left:4px solid #e74c3c;margin:25px 0'>\n<h3 style='margin-top:0'>\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts<\/h3>\n<ul style='margin:10px 0;padding-left:20px'>\n<li><b>September PCE inflation<\/b> came in at <b>2.8%<\/b>, below the <b>2.9%<\/b> forecast, sparking rally on December 5, 2025.<\/li>\n<li><b>S&amp;P 500<\/b> gained <b>0.19%<\/b> to <b>6,870.40<\/b> points as inflation concerns eased ahead of Fed decision.<\/li>\n<li><b>Fed meeting December 9-10<\/b> expected to deliver <b>0.25% rate cut<\/b>, with <b>87% market odds<\/b> in current pricing.<\/li>\n<li><b>Core inflation<\/b> declined from <b>2.9%<\/b> in August to <b>2.8%<\/b>, first decrease in months signaling cooling pressures.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Inflation Data Beats Expectations, Creates Rally Catalyst<\/h2>\n<p><b>September&#8217;s delayed PCE report<\/b> finally arrived after government shutdown delays, showing inflation cooling faster than economists anticipated. The <b>Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred inflation gauge<\/b> came in at <b>2.8% year-over-year<\/b>, down from <b>2.9%<\/b> in August.<\/p>\n<p>Markets responded immediately with broad gains across <b>tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite<\/b> rising <b>0.31%<\/b> to close at <b>23,578.13<\/b>. The data suggested inflation is sufficiently controlled, reducing pressure on the Fed to hold rates steady. Consumer spending also moderated in September, providing additional evidence that price pressures are easing.<\/p>\n<p><b>This softer reading<\/b> marks the <b>first decline in core inflation<\/b> seen after consecutive months at <b>2.9%<\/b>, reversing a trend that had worried policymakers throughout 2025.<\/p>\n<h2>Market Reaction: Four-Day Win Streak and Positive Momentum Build<\/h2>\n<p>The broader market celebrated softer inflation with <b>four consecutive days of gains<\/b> heading into this week. The <b>S&amp;P 500&#8217;s<\/b> advance to <b>6,870.40<\/b> points represents steady accumulation on the back of easing inflation fears. <b>Dow Jones<\/b> also finished higher with gains over <b>100 points<\/b>, signaling broad-based confidence.<\/p>\n<table style='width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:20px 0'>\n<tr style='background:#f4f4f4'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'>Market Index<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'>Latest Level<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'>Daily Change<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>S&amp;P 500<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>6,870.40<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>+0.19%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style='background:#f9f9f9'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Nasdaq Composite<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>23,578.13<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>+0.31%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Dow Jones<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Higher<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>+100+ pts<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style='background:#f9f9f9'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Win Streak<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Four days<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Consecutive<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The <b>four-day win streak<\/b> reflects investor confidence that the Fed&#8217;s interest rate policies are working as intended. Lower inflation means rates may not need to climb higher, supporting equity valuations and reducing borrowing costs for consumers.<\/p>\n<h2>Fed&#8217;s December 9-10 Meeting: What Wall Street Expects<\/h2>\n<p>The <b>Federal Reserve&#8217;s final policy meeting of 2025<\/b> arrives during this crucial week, with markets fully expecting a <b>0.25 percentage point rate cut<\/b>. Current <b>CME FedWatch tool pricing<\/b> shows <b>87% probability<\/b> of a December cut moving the <b>fed funds rate to 3.50%-3.75%<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p><b>Fed Chair Jerome Powell<\/b> has faced intense scrutiny over the past month as markets wavered on cut timing. Recent softer labor data combined with benign inflation readings have solidified the case for action. <b>Economists and Reuters polls<\/b> confirm widespread expectations for the quarter-point reduction.<\/p>\n<p>The divide within the Federal Reserve over cutting in December remains notable, with <b>some policymakers expressing caution<\/b> about moving too aggressively. However, the weight of recent economic data appears to have shifted consensus toward the dovish camp.<\/p>\n<h2>What Happens After December? Looking Ahead to 2026<\/h2>\n<p>If the Fed delivers as expected, the <b>December 2025 cut would mark the third consecutive rate reduction<\/b> and the final one for this year. Market participants are already contemplating the <b>2026 outlook<\/b>, where consensus forecasts additional cuts but at a slower pace.<\/p>\n<p><b>Goldman Sachs Research projects<\/b> two additional rate cuts in 2026, leaving the <b>fed funds rate at 3.00%-3.25%<\/b> by year-end. Other forecasters expect <b>two more cuts in March and September 2026<\/b>, providing gradual policy support into next year.<\/p>\n<p>This measured approach suggests the Fed believes inflation has sufficiently cooled while avoiding aggressive easing that could reignite price pressures. Investors must weigh potential positives from lower rates against any economic slowdown scenarios.<\/p>\n<h2>Will December&#8217;s Market Rally Momentum Carry Through the Fed Decision?<\/h2>\n<p>The strength displayed in recent trading days suggests positive sentiment heading into the critical <b>December 9-10 meeting announcement<\/b>. Investor positioning typically becomes cautious when awaiting major Fed decisions, but current enthusiasm indicates confidence in the policy direction.<\/p>\n<p>Several factors could disrupt the rally: <b>hawkish language in Fed communications<\/b>, <b>stronger-than-expected economic data<\/b>, or <b>signals about 2026 rate paths<\/b> could trigger volatility. Additionally, global economic concerns and geopolitical tensions remain backdrop risks.<\/p>\n<p>The key question ahead of Wednesday&#8217;s announcement centers on how resilient this rally proves if markets must reassess expectations. <b>Softer inflation data<\/b> has provided cover for easing, but any surprise policy statements could reshape sentiment quickly.<\/p>\n<h3>Sources<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><b>CNBC<\/b> &#8211; Core inflation rate and market rally coverage from December 5, 2025<\/li>\n<li><b>Reuters<\/b> &#8211; Fed rate cut expectations and economist polling on December 2025 decision<\/li>\n<li><b>Federal Reserve<\/b> &#8211; Official FOMC meeting calendar and policy statements<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":22399,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[]}","_extracted_celebrities":"","_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":"","_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2025-12-07 06:25:49","footnotes":""},"categories":[391],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-finance","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Market rallied 4 straight days after inflation shocked lower, but Fed&#039;s final 2025 meeting decision coming Wednesday could change everything<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market rallied 4 straight days after inflation shocked lower, but Fed&#039;s final 2025 meeting decision coming Wednesday could change everything\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Red94\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-07T10:25:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-07T10:25:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick Graham\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Patrick Graham\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Patrick Graham\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/a87cd0001445db88250833ec7b7ce9a9\"},\"headline\":\"Market rallied 4 straight days after inflation shocked lower, but Fed&#8217;s final 2025 meeting decision coming Wednesday could change everything\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-07T10:25:24+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-07T10:25:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/\"},\"wordCount\":731,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/29293-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/94095-market-rallies-after-softer-inflation-data-eyes-locked-on-fed-s-final-2025-meeti.jpg.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Business &amp; 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