{"id":40485,"date":"2026-02-05T12:57:58","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T16:57:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/nfl-awards-2026-staffords-mvp-favorite-maye-challenges-tonight\/"},"modified":"2026-02-05T12:58:28","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T16:58:28","slug":"14238-nfl-awards-2026-stafford-s-mvp-favorite-maye-challenges-tonight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/14238-nfl-awards-2026-stafford-s-mvp-favorite-maye-challenges-tonight\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL awards 2026: Stafford’s MVP favorite, Maye challenges tonight"},"content":{"rendered":"

Matthew Stafford<\/b> enters tonight’s NFL Honors ceremony<\/b> as the heavy favorite to win MVP<\/b>. But Drake Maye’s<\/b> historic rookie season just won’t go away. The 2026 awards<\/b> will finally settle this unprecedented two-man race.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • Ceremony Time:<\/b> 9 PM ET<\/b> tonight, February 5, 2026, airing live on NBC from San Francisco<\/li>\n
  • MVP Odds:<\/b> Stafford -135<\/b>, Maye +105<\/b>, translating to closest vote in awards history<\/li>\n
  • Stafford Stats:<\/b> 4,448 passing yards<\/b>, 42 touchdowns<\/b>, first-team All-Pro selection<\/li>\n
  • Maye Stats:<\/b> 72% completion<\/b>, 113.5 passer rating<\/b>, fastest rookie QB to 4,000 yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Stafford’s Dominant Case for Top Honor<\/h2>\n

    Matthew Stafford<\/b> has overwhelming statistical advantages. The Los Angeles Rams<\/b> quarterback led the entire NFL<\/b> in passing yards with 4,448<\/b>. He threw 42 touchdown passes<\/b> compared to Maye’s 30<\/b>. Stafford<\/b> earned first-team All-Pro honors, which historically bridges to MVP.<\/p>\n

    The Rams<\/b> star engineered a complete turnaround in Los Angeles. His efficiency metrics remain elite, and his playoff performance<\/b> cemented his case heading into tonight. Betting markets<\/b> reflect this edge at -135 odds<\/b>, meaning oddsmakers heavily favor the Vegas legend.<\/p>\n

    Maye’s Rookie Revolution Threatens Upset<\/h2>\n

    Drake Maye<\/b>‘s rookie season rewrote the historical record books. The New England Patriots<\/b> signal-caller became the youngest player competing for this award. His 72.0% completion percentage<\/b> leads the NFL<\/b> entirely. Maye’s 113.5 passer rating<\/b> ranks second.<\/p>\n

    What makes Maye<\/b> dangerous is efficiency over volume. CBS Sports experts<\/b> split narrowly, with 7 votes for Maye<\/b> and 5 for Stafford<\/b> in their official poll. Voters<\/b> noted Maye<\/b> led in yards per attempt at 8.9<\/b> and expected points added. His rushing ability<\/b> with 400 yards<\/b> adds dimension Stafford<\/b> cannot match.<\/p>\n

    Head-to-Head Comparison and Key Metrics<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Stat Category<\/td>\nMatthew Stafford<\/td>\nDrake Maye<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Passing Yards<\/td>\n4,448<\/b><\/td>\n4,203<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Touchdowns<\/td>\n42<\/b><\/td>\n30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Completion %<\/td>\n65.2%<\/td>\n72.0%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Passer Rating<\/td>\n110.1<\/td>\n113.5<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    All-Pro Status<\/td>\nFirst-Team<\/b><\/td>\nNot Selected<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    “In the closest vote of all of the major awards, Maye edges out Stafford. Stafford was the first-team All-Pro selection, which historically points to him winning MVP. But it’s not an absolute.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    \u2014 Zachary Pereles<\/b>, CBS Sports NFL Editor<\/p>\n

    Tonight’s Historic Ceremony Features Multiple Award Winners<\/h2>\n

    Jon Hamm<\/b> hosts the NFL Honors<\/b> ceremony tonight at 9 PM ET<\/b>. The event broadcasts live on NBC<\/b> from the Palace of Fine Arts<\/b> in San Francisco<\/b>. Beyond MVP<\/b>, the 2026 NFL awards<\/b> will crown multiple champions across all positions.<\/p>\n

    Myles Garrett<\/b> unanimously won Defensive Player of the Year<\/b> after setting the single-season sacks record<\/b> with 23<\/b>. Tetairoa McMillan<\/b> from the Carolina Panthers<\/b> earned Offensive Rookie of the Year<\/b> after catching 70 passes for 1,014 yards<\/b>. The ceremony<\/b> happens one night before the Super Bowl LX<\/b> matchup between the Patriots and Seahawks<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Will This Controversial Race Finally End Tonight?<\/h2>\n

    This MVP<\/b> race represents historic debate. Stafford’s<\/b> volume statistics clash with Maye’s<\/b> efficiency metrics. NFL voters<\/b> truly split the difference. Earlier this season, Kalshi prediction market traders<\/b> gave Stafford<\/b> an 88% probability<\/b> of winning, but voting blocs disagreed internally.<\/p>\n

    The Professional Football Writers Association<\/b> already selected Stafford<\/b> for their MVP<\/b> award. But the Associated Press<\/b> vote happens tonight on live television. Maye’s<\/b> resilience as a rookie<\/b> in the toughest positions cannot be ignored. Which voters<\/b> will prevail on the biggest stage of awards season? That answer arrives in hours.<\/p>\n

    Sources<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • CBS Sports<\/b> – NFL Honors predictions and expert voting breakdown<\/li>\n
    • Sports Illustrated<\/b> – Closing NFL MVP odds and betting analysis<\/li>\n
    • NFL.com<\/b> – Official nominations and ceremony details<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":40484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Matthew Stafford\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/4586877\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Drake Mayer\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/5449095\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jon Hamm\",\"image\":\"https:\/\/image.tmdb.org\/t\/p\/w500\/mrXE5fZbEDPc7BEE5G21J6qrwzi.jpg\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/65717\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Zachary Pereles\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Myles Garrett\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2122020\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Tetairoa McMillan\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"San Francisco\",\"description\":\"city\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Palace of Fine Arts\",\"description\":\"venue\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Los Angeles\",\"description\":\"city\"}]}","_extracted_celebrities":null,"_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":null,"_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2026-02-05 12:59:11","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nNFL awards 2026: Stafford's MVP favorite, Maye challenges tonight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/red94.net\/news\/14238-nfl-awards-2026-stafford-s-mvp-favorite-maye-challenges-tonight\/\" \/>\n<meta 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