Hurricane decimates Hyatt’s 2025 earnings forecast by $10 million, forcing extended Jamaica resort closures through 2026

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By: Patrick Graham

Hurricane damage from the devastating Category 5 Hurricane Melissa in October 2025 has forced Hyatt Hotels to revise its financial outlook downward. The Chicago-based hospitality company announced on December 30, 2025 that it’s reducing its 2025 adjusted EBITDA forecast for its recently acquired Playa Hotels & Resorts division by $10 million at the midpoint of its outlook due to extensive damage at seven properties in Jamaica.

🔥 Quick Facts

  • $10 million reduction in Playa EBITDA guidance for 2025 due to Hurricane Melissa damage
  • Seven Hyatt-operated properties in Jamaica expected to remain closed until Q4 2026
  • Hyatt now expects adjusted EBITDA between $1.09 billion to $1.11 billion, moving to the low end of the range
  • Cancellations from Jamaica damaged Hyatt’s distribution segment performance in 2025

Hurricane Melissa Decimates Caribbean Property Portfolio

Hurricane Melissa struck Jamaica as a Category 5 storm in October 2025, causing severe structural damage to multiple resort properties that Hyatt had recently integrated following its acquisition of Playa Hotels & Resorts. The storm’s impact proved more extensive than initially anticipated.

The property damage forced Hyatt to extend closure timelines significantly beyond original estimates. Seven properties across the island now face extended reconstruction periods, with full reopening not expected until the fourth quarter of 2026 at the earliest. This extended downtime creates substantial revenue loss for the hospitality operator.

Financial Guidance Adjustment and Earnings Impact

Hyatt Hotels updated its 2025 financial guidance on December 30, 2025 in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA forecast for Playa by $10 million at the midpoint of its previous outlook of $70 million to $85 million, creating an updated range of $60 million to $75 million.

The broader Hyatt Hotels company-wide adjusted EBITDA outlook now stands at the low end of its previously announced range of $1.09 billion to $1.11 billion. This guidance excludes the impact of the Playa acquisition and the completed sale of Hyatt’s real estate portfolio, which closed on December 31, 2025.

Damage Assessment and Operational Challenges Ahead

Financial Metric Previous Outlook Updated Outlook
Playa 2025 EBITDA $70M – $85M $60M – $75M
Hyatt Total EBITDA Target $1.09B – $1.11B range Low end of $1.09B – $1.11B
Jamaica Properties Status Q1 2026 reopening targeted Q4 2026 closure extending
Impact Driver Initial short-term impact Sustained cancellations, extended closures

The primary driver of Hyatt’s earnings reduction stems from cancellations in Jamaica that continue to impact the company’s distribution segment. Extended property closures mean the company must absorb operating costs while generating zero revenue from those locations through the remainder of 2026. Guest cancellations from the damaged properties forced Hyatt to adjust its earnings expectations across the entire fiscal year.

The hospitality sector faces ongoing challenges from natural disasters, and this situation demonstrates vulnerability in concentrated regional portfolios. Recovery efforts for the seven Jamaica properties will require substantial capital investment and time to restore facilities to operational standards.

What Lies Ahead for Hyatt’s Caribbean Strategy?

Hyatt must navigate a complex recovery process while managing investor expectations through extended restructuring. The company’s Playa acquisition, completed earlier in 2025 for approximately $2.6 billion including debt, now faces near-term headwinds from this unprecedented natural disaster. Reconstruction timelines remain uncertain, and further delays could push closure periods into 2027.

The outlook suggests Hyatt will focus on maximizing operations at remaining unaffected properties while mobilizing resources for damage assessment and repairs. The $10 million EBITDA reduction represents a significant setback for the Playa division, which was projected to generate $70 million to $85 million in adjusted earnings for 2025 before the hurricane struck.

Sources

  • The Wall Street Journal – Hyatt Hotels Cuts Full-Year Guidance Due to Hurricane Damage in Jamaica
  • MarketWatch – Hyatt Hotels Cuts FY Guidance Due to Hurricane Damage in Jamaica
  • Seeking Alpha – Hyatt Hotels Updates 2025 Financial Guidance Considering Hurricane Melissa Impact

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