Label rises as unemployment hits 4.6% with stock market showing cracks in economic foundation

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By: Patrick Graham

Unemployment hit 4.6% in November, marking a four-year high, as the U.S. labor market showed signs of weakness amid broader economic slowdown. Yesterday’s jobs report revealed only 64,000 positions added last month, while U.S. business activity declined to a six-month low with the composite PMI dropping to 53.0. The stock market closed mixed as investors grapple with economic uncertainties heading into year-end.

🔥 Quick Facts

  • Unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, up from 4.4% in September and the highest level since September 2021
  • Only 64,000 jobs added in November, compared to 105,000 jobs lost in October
  • Composite PMI fell to 53.0 in December, the lowest reading in six months, down from 54.2 in November
  • Fed maintains pause on rate cuts as labor market concerns mount and inflation persists

November Jobs Report Signals Economic Slowdown

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the November employment report yesterday, revealing troubling signs for the U.S. economy. Job creation of just 64,000 positions fell dramatically short of expectations, marking one of the weakest months in recent memory.

This weakness follows October’s 105,000-job loss, which was significantly impacted by federal government reductions. The labor force participation rate and other employment metrics continue to weigh on economists’ outlooks for economic momentum.

Unemployment Rate Hits Four-Year High

The 4.6% unemployment rate represents the highest level since September 2021, during the post-pandemic recovery period. The rate has climbed steadily from 4.0% at the beginning of 2025.

A broader unemployment measure covering underemployment swelled to 8.7%, indicating additional labor market stress. Fed officials expressed concern about these rising unemployment trends during their December meetings.

Economic Indicator November 2025 Previous Month
Unemployment Rate 4.6% 4.4% (September)
Jobs Added/(Lost) +64,000 (105,000) in October
Broader Unemployment Rate 8.7% Higher than prior estimates
Time Period November 2025 Released December 16, 2025

Business Activity Hits Six-Month Low as Concerns Grow

Yesterday’s S&P Global Flash PMI data revealed that U.S. private-sector activity expanded at its slowest pace since June. The composite index fell to 53.0 from 54.2, signaling continued but weakening economic growth.

Manufacturing PMI declined to 51.8, while services PMI dropped to 52.9. Both sectors reported declining new orders and mounting concerns about tariffs and ongoing supply-chain challenges. Economists attribute the slowdown partly to trade tensions.

Stock Market Closes Mixed Amid Mixed Economic Signals

Wall Street responded unevenly to the disappointing economic data yesterday. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average finished lower, weighed down by healthcare and energy stocks that declined significantly.

However, the Nasdaq recovered during the session, with megacap tech stocks providing support. Investors continue weighing the implications of a weakening labor market against resilient technology sector earnings. Oil futures rose after Trump administration escalated pressure on Venezuela.

What Do Rising Interest Rate Concerns Mean for Your Wallet?

The Federal Reserve has signaled a pause on interest rate cuts following their December meeting. With inflation remaining above target and unemployment rising, policymakers face pressure to balance supporting the labor market while controlling price growth.

Higher unemployment and slower business activity could eventually force the Fed’s hand to resume cutting rates in 2026. Consumer credit conditions, mortgage rates, and savings account yields all hinge on the Fed’s next moves. Bank analysts suggest monitoring January economic data closely for signals about rate policy direction.


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